Wholesale interest rates ‘collapse’ – here’s what that means for borrowers
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Wholesale interest rates have "collapsed" - but retail home loan rates are likely to follow at a slower pace.
Kiwibank economists have pointed out that the two-year swap rate hit a low of 4.19 percent last week, the lowest it had traded in just under two years and well below the recent peak of more than 5.2 percent.
That is being driven by a market expectation that the Reserve Bank is planning cuts to the official cash rate (OCR) much quickly than it has previously signalled.
"Market traders are now pricing 15bps [basis points] of cuts in August," Kiwibank's economists said.
"That's a 60 percent chance of a rate cut in just a couple weeks' time. And looking ahead, traders have priced in just over 75bps of cuts by November. That's a whopping three cuts."
They sa...